The rapid development of technologies close to artificial intelligence, observed right now, will lead to the fact that AI will surpass the man in almost all spheres of activity already by 2060 – believe the staff of the Institute of the Future of Humanity, existing at Oxford University. British scientists are in agreement with their American colleagues – researchers from Yale University.
AI already now can get ahead of the person in many problems. For example, AlphaGo several times beat the best human players in go. Other systems better read on the lips of people or help detectives understand the police information. But each of the modern intellectual systems is good only in one thing and is useless in all other directions, unless it is taught to them. As the same researchers say, AI with a humanoid versatility will not appear soon.
The formation of AI as a competitor for the human mind will occur in several stages. For starters, for example, artificial intelligence will learn to translate from one language to another. He still does a good job of this task, but by 2024, according to forecasts, people-translators will be left without work.
By 2026 AI will be able to write essays no worse than high school graduates. By 2027 – will learn to drive multi-ton trucks on public roads. Vendors will be unemployed by 2031, novelists – by 2049, and artificial intelligence will replace surgeons by 2053. In a hundred – twenty years, as scientists assume, there will be no problem at all with which a man would cope better than AI.
The majority of scientists refused to predict the development of emotional intelligence, as this transcends the boundaries of knowledge.
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